Quarterback Strength of Schedule

Mon May 18 8:54pm ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a strength-of-schedule ranking for the quarterback position. We used our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the “Reports” heading. We took each team’s schedule and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks last season by all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the quarterbacks with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season.

Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing which quarterbacks might have the easiest schedules for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

 RANK TEAM  AVG. OPP FANTASY PPG ALLOWED 
1.  Raiders 18.33
2.  Jets 18.44
3.  Bears 18.48
4.  Dolphins 18.7
5.  Broncos 18.74
6.  Chiefs 18.75
7.  Chargers 18.93
8.  Bills 18.98
9. Buccaneers 19.05
10. Patriots 19.07
11. Steelers 19.12
12. Lions 19.13
13. 49ers 19.17
14. Panthers 19.25
15. Rams 19.4
16. Falcons 19.42
17. Cardinals 19.44
18. Packers 19.44
19. Seahawks 19.59
20. Ravens 19.69
21. Saints 19.76
22. Cowboys 19.82
23. Bengals 19.87
24. Vikings 19.91
25. Colts 19.98
26. Commanders 20.07
27. Jaguars 20.22
28. Giants 20.23
29. Texans 20.23
30. Titans 20.33
31. Browns 20.39
32. Eagles 21.09

 

The Eagles have the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks. This is good news for a possible Jalen Hurts turnaround. He doesn’t carry nearly the same price tag as last year, so he might be worth the gamble. The Eagles also have a new offensive coordinator this season, which is likely a good thing after the last few years. Things are looking up for Hurts, especially when you consider this schedule.

There are also some unknowns that get easy quarterback schedules this year. The Browns, Titans, Texans, and Giants round out the top five. We aren’t even sure who is starting right now for the Browns, and even once that is decided, their fantasy outlook isn’t especially promising. However, an easy schedule and some new weapons at receiver could help whoever wins the starting job earn a few fantasy starts along the way.

Two second-year quarterbacks are especially intriguing. Both Cam Ward and Jaxon Dart have favorable schedules. Dart already showed his potential last year, but he needs to learn how to stay on the field. If that happens, his ceiling is huge this year. Ward had a so-so rookie season but is looking a lot better because of additions to the receiver room in Tennessee. Plus, he is another year older. Ward could take a big step forward in Year 2.

The Raiders top the list for the most difficult quarterback schedule. This is not good news for rookie quarterback Fernando Mendoza. He was already iffy because of a lack of offensive weapons, and the Raiders’ offensive line can also be shaky. Mendoza could struggle during his rookie season because of all of this, making him a risky pick on draft day.

The Jets also have big concerns at quarterback with Geno Smith starting, and they face the second-hardest schedule for quarterbacks. Smith did get some upgrades on offense, but there are still plenty of concerns. Plus, he is coming off a rough season, which only adds to the risk. He is looking like a very risky option on draft day.

The Bears, Dolphins, and Broncos round out the top five most difficult quarterback schedules. Caleb Williams and Bo Nix are two high-profile quarterbacks on the list. You might want to move them down a spot or two in your rankings because of the schedule, though. They should still have good seasons but could have a few stumbles along the way.

Malik Willis finally gets another chance to start for the Dolphins. He heads to a team that still has plenty of offensive questions, especially at receiver. Willis also faces the fourth-toughest quarterback schedule in addition to those concerns. This is not ideal for his fantasy outlook.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy quarterbacks. So we crunched the numbers for all schedules from Weeks 15-17, which is the fantasy playoff period for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing which quarterbacks have the easiest playoff schedules certainly doesn’t hurt, especially in the big-money contests.

 RANK TEAM AVG. OPP FANTASY PLAYOFF PPG ALLOWED
1. Dolphins  16.29
2. 49ers  17.04
3. Jets  17.36
4. Broncos  17.41
5. Seahawks  17.74
6. Chiefs  17.76
7. Eagles  17.86
8. Bears  18.08
9. Commanders  18.08
10. Texans 18.44
11. Buccaneers 18.45
12. Lions 19.22
13. Patriots 19.28
14. Bengals 19.33
15. Cardinals 19.46
16. Chargers 19.76
17. Steelers 19.89
18. Packers 19.9
19. Colts 20
20. Raiders 20
21. Ravens 20.13
22. Cowboys 20.15
23. Panthers 20.25
24. Bills 20.31
25. Titans 20.64
26. Browns 20.78
27. Falcons 20.86
28. Saints 21.08
29. Giants 21.5
30. Jaguars 21.76
31. Vikings 22.06
32. Rams 22.28

 

The Giants are the lone team to finish in the top five on both lists, so Dart is looking even better for fantasy teams. He could be set up for a huge second season and gets a chance to shine during the fantasy playoffs. New York has the fourth-easiest playoff schedule for quarterbacks.

The Rams have the easiest playoff schedule for quarterbacks. Matthew Stafford is coming off an MVP-caliber season. You can draft him later than the elite fantasy quarterbacks, making him a good platoon option for fantasy teams. He might be worth pairing with another similar quarterback and spot-starting them throughout the season. Stafford could be a difference-maker during the fantasy playoffs.

The Vikings, Jaguars, and Saints make up the rest of the teams with top-five easiest playoff schedules for quarterbacks. Trevor Lawrence and Tyler Shough look even better because of this. Both have high upside for the coming season and could produce big numbers when it matters most.

The Dolphins, Jets, and Broncos all rank in the top five for most difficult quarterback schedules during both the regular season and playoffs. This is not ideal for any of those options on draft day. Again, it is hard to shy away from Nix, but it is concerning to see him facing such difficult schedules for both the regular season and fantasy playoffs.

The 49ers and Seahawks also have difficult playoff schedules. Brock Purdy is always capable of a huge game, but he isn’t a surefire No. 1 fantasy quarterback. His poor playoff schedule might make fantasy owners shy away from him on draft day. He may not be worth the risk.

As mentioned earlier, both the Dolphins and Jets already have quarterback concerns, so difficult schedules for both the regular season and playoffs are major red flags for their fantasy options.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at jeff@rtsports.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Malachi Fields May 20 5:00pm ET
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Kyle Williams May 20 2:20pm ET
Kyle Williams

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Deshaun Watson May 20 2:10pm ET
Deshaun Watson

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Quinshon Judkins May 20 2:00pm ET
Quinshon Judkins

Cleveland Browns second-year running back Quinshon Judkins (ankle) was seen working in 11-on-11 drills during the team's offseason workout on Wednesday, according to Chris Easterling of the Akron Beacon Journal. Judkins only played in 14 games for Cleveland in his first year in the league after being selected with the 36th overall pick in the second round last year out of Ohio State due to a broken leg and dislocated ankle. The 22-year-old is looking good during organized team activities, though, sprinting and making cuts during drills. Barring a setback, Judkins appears to be on track to be a full-go for Week 1 of the 2026 regular season this fall. He averaged only 3.6 yards per carry in his first NFL season, but Judkins showed plenty of upside with 230 carries for 827 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, adding 26 catches for 171 yards as a pass-catcher on 36 targets. As long as he's healthy, Judkins should be close to a three-down workhorse for the Browns. Target him as an RB2 in fantasy drafts with upside for more. At RotoBaller, Judkins is ranked as the No. 24 fantasy RB for his sophomore campaign.

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Brian Thomas Jr. May 20 1:50pm ET
Brian Thomas Jr.

Jaguars.com's Demetrius Harvey writes that the Jacksonville Jaguars aren't trading wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. After a down year in his second season in the NFL, Thomas' name has been the subject of trade rumors this offseason, but Harvey doesn't think the Jags are motivated to move the former 23rd overall pick after he caught 87 passes for 1,282 yards and 10 touchdowns in 17 games in his rookie season in 2024. The 23-year-old fell down to Earth considerably last year, catching just 48 passes for 707 yards and two touchdowns in 14 regular-season starts. Not only did Parker Washington step into a much bigger role last year, but Jacksonville acquired receiver Jakobi Meyers from the Raiders in a move that transformed their offense around midseason. Thomas may never ascend to his rookie-year level of production, but he should have an opportunity to rebound from last year's dud in his third year in Duval. He'll come at a value in fantasy football drafts this fall and will be a nice target as a WR3/flex. RotoBaller currently has Thomas ranked as the No. 38 WR for the 2026 season.

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Xavier Legette May 20 1:50pm ET
Xavier Legette

Carolina Panthers wide receiver Xavier Legette has yet to finish higher than WR61 in either of his two NFL seasons, and that trend could continue given his outlook for 2026 and beyond. The Panthers have Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Cooker firmly established as their top two receivers, leaving Legette battling for the No. 3 role, which means he's unlikely to earn many starting reps. He also faces competition from other players on the Panthers' roster, such as rookie Chris Brazzell II, a third-round pick out of Tennessee. Legette has the early advantage over Brazzell, given his experience in the NFL and the Panthers' offense, but that could change if Legette has another disappointing season. The former first-round pick caught just 35 passes for 363 yards and three touchdowns in 15 games last year, and he has fallen to WR115 in RotoBaller's latest dynasty fantasy football rankings.

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Rashod Bateman May 20 1:40pm ET
Rashod Bateman

Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Rashod Bateman doesn't seem to have a very encouraging outlook in dynasty fantasy football leagues. The former first-round pick has failed to live up to expectations. He has finished as the WR40 or worse in each of his five seasons, as well as WR69 or worse in four of those five. Despite playing in 13 games last year, he produced a putrid stat line of 19 catches, 224 yards, and two touchdowns. The Ravens do want to throw the ball more, but there are far more established options than Bateman. Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews are far more reliable targets, Devontez Walker arguably has greater upside than Bateman, and rookies Ja'Kobi Lane and Matt Hibner also have encouraging outlooks because of their direct ties to the new coaching staff in Baltimore. Bateman, on the other hand, is trending down and has no connection to new head coach Jesse Minter, nor new offensive coordinator Declan Doyle. Bateman is under contract with the Ravens through 2029, but assuming his 2026 season disappoints, he'll be a very likely cut candidate next offseason. At this point, he can safely be dropped in most dynasty leagues.

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Tyrone Tracy Jr. May 20 1:30pm ET
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

New York Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects as the team's No. 2 option out of the backfield in 2026, but there may be a path for him to maintain value in dynasty fantasy football leagues. Fueled by a big second half after Cam Skattebo (ankle) went down, Tracy finished as the overall RB28 in PPR leagues last year. He has now been a top-28 running back in each of his two pro seasons. He scored just four touchdowns but eclipsed 1,000 scrimmage yards for the second year in a row. Additionally, he earned playing time by demonstrating ball security; he fumbled just once, despite having more than 200 touches. As many NFL teams shift to having a split backfield, Tracy should continue to have a key role alongside Skattebo, even if Skattebo starts most of the games. Tracy remains an intriguing RB3/flex appeal, and since some managers value him lower, there's an opportunity to buy low and reap the rewards. Managers looking for an affordable running back with weekly flex value in dynasty leagues should look to acquire Tracy this offseason.

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Mark Andrews May 20 1:30pm ET
Mark Andrews

Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews had a frustrating season in 2025, catching a modest 48 passes for 422 yards and five touchdowns across 17 games. He suffered from the Ravens' subpar passing attack, as well as a crowded tight end room that also featured Isaiah Likely and Charlie Kolar. Both Likely and Kolar departed in free agency this offseason, and they leave behind 51 vacated targets. A large portion of those targets could go to Andrews, since the Ravens didn't bring in another tight end to compete for the starting role. The closest move they made was drafting SMU's Matt Hibner. While Hibner may be the tight end of the future in Baltimore, it's unlikely that he'll take on a major role right away. Managers should let Andrews bounce back as a potential top-12 tight end during the first half of the season, and by midseason, there could be a perfect opportunity to sell high on him.

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Chimere Dike May 20 12:40pm ET
Chimere Dike

Tennessee Titans wide receiver Chimere Dike is trending down after the team's offseason additions. There isn't much of a trade market for him, but he's too promising a player to drop, so managers are forced to stash him on the bench in most leagues. Dike was the WR50 last year with 48 catches, 423 yards, and four touchdowns, but he fell down the depth chart after the Titans signed Wan'Dale Robinson and drafted Carnell Tate. With Elic Ayomanor and Calvin Ridley also in the picture, Dike could be as low as fifth in the pecking order, which would destroy his fantasy value in the short term. Looking long term, he does have a path to relevance in an offense that is not only trending up, but could also become more pass-heavy in the future. Plus, if injuries plague any of the Titans' top pass-catchers, Dike could potentially move into a starting role. As a result, he's worth holding in most dynasty leagues.

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